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NFL Odds and Notes
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cucubbie®
Bullpen Catcher [∞]
BullPulse: 100%
Posts: 6539
Joined: 3/18/16
NFL Odds and Notes
Sep 30, 2022, 1:11 PM
Reply
NFL Odds and Notes:
1) The Chiefs had been favored in 26 straight games. They opened as a 2.5-point favorite at TB, but are now a pick’em.
2) 64% of NFL games this season have gone under the total.
3) Average scoring per game through three weeks is the lowest since 2010
4) Three teams are 3-0 thus far against the spread: Falcons, and Lions. The Dolphins were 3-0 too.
5) Two Teams are 0-3 thus far against the spread: Raiders and Saints
6) The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 4 lines:
a. Seattle/Detroit went from Detroit -6.5 to -4, a 2.5-point swing.
b. KC/TB went from KC -2.5 to a pick’em, a 2.5-point swing.
c. Cleveland/Atlanta went from Cleveland -3 to -1, a two-point swing.
d. Arizona/Carolina went from Arizona +1 to -1, a two-point swing and a new favorite.
7) The biggest total movements thus far since opening the Week 4 totals:
a. LAR/SF went from 47 to 42.5, a 4.5-point swing.
b. Buffalo/Baltimore went from 54.5 to 51, a 3.5-point swing.
c. Jax/Philly went from 47.5 to 45.5, a two-point swing.
8) The three most wagered favorites are:
a. Minnesota (-3) at New Orleans: 87% are on Minnesota
b. Arizona (-1) at Carolina: 78% are on Arizona
c. KC (pk) at TB (pk): 70% are on Kansas City
9) The three most wagered underdogs are:
a. Tennessee at Indianapolis (-3.5): 69% are on Tennessee
b. LAR at SF (-1): 64% are on the Los Angeles Rams
c. Jacksonville at Philadelphia (-6.5): 61% are on Jacksonville
10) The two most wagered overs are:
a. Cleveland at Atlanta: 73% are on over 47.5 points
b. Jacksonville at Philadelphia: 68% are on over 45.5 points
11) The two most wagered unders are:
a. Denver at Las Vegas: 75% are on under 45.5 points
b. KC at TB: 61% are on under 45.5 points
College Football Odds and Notes:
1) The line movements in college football are much more volatile than the NFL.
2) The biggest line movements thus far since opening the Week 5 lines:
a. Ohio/Kent State went from Kent State -6.5 to -11.5, a five-point swing.
b. San Jose State/Wyoming went from Wyoming -1.5 to San Jose State a favorite of -2.5 points, a four-point swing.
c. South Alabama/UL Lafayette went from USA -5 to -8.5, a 3.5-point swing.
d. ASU/USC went from USC -22 to -25.5, a 3.5-point swing.
3) The three most wagered favorites are all road favorites:
a. LSU (-8) at Auburn: 71% are on LSU
b. Oklahoma (-5) at TCU: 67% are on Oklahoma
c. Minnesota (-12) at Purdue: 66% are on Minnesota
4) The three most wagered underdogs are:
a. Kentucky (+7) at Mississippi: 76% are on Kentucky
b. Alabama (-17.5) at Arkansas: 73% are on Arkansas
c. Wake Forest (+6.5) at Florida: 69% are on Wake Forest
5) The two most wagered overs are:
a. NC State at Clemson: 73% are on over 44 points
b. Wake Forest at Florida: 71% are on over 64.5 points
6) The two most wagered unders are:
a. Michigan at Iowa: 74% are on under 42.5 points
b. Navy at Air Force: 68% are on under 38.5 points
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